This is the website for the AI Futures Model (Dec 2025 version), the AI Futures Project’s improved timelines and takeoff model (see our old models here and here). We previously published the AI 2027 scenario, and this model will inform our future scenarios. Our blog is here.
We created this website in collaboration with Lightcone Infrastructure.
You can reach us at info@ai-futures.org. We look forward to hearing from you.
Core contributors to this project included Eli Lifland,* Brendan Halstead,* Alex Kastner, and Daniel Kokotajlo.
Eli and Brendan did the conceptual model development work. Eli wrote much of the content and managed the project. Brendan did much of the programming work. Alex wrote the website’s model explanation. Daniel provided high-level conceptual ideas used in the model, and gave feedback throughout the course of the project.
* Equal contribution.
We acknowledge the following people for providing feedback on the model, the writeups, and/or the website: Andreas Robinson, Anson Ho, Aryan Bhatt, Benjamin Todd, Emery Cooper, Fabio Marinello, Iskandar Haykel, Jack Chen, Jacob Hilton, Jaime Sevilla, Parker Whitfill, Phil Trammell, Tom Davidson, Zach Stein-Perlman.